Tim Hortons Roll Up The Rim 2010
Mar 1st, 2010 by Jon
2010 Contest:
Previous Years Results:
5 minutes of fame:
- Official Google Docs Blog – April 10, 2008: Coffee and statistics
- The Globe and Mail – April 16, 2008: Coffee junkies say it’s a lean “Roll Up The Rim” season
Other RUTR Bloggers/Twitters:
The Tim Hortons Roll Up The Rim 2010 statistics
On this page, you will be able to find the total progress (and pictures) of each and every Tim Hortons coffee/tea I have purchased, as well as the stats of my winnings. Some quick notes:
A) My usual is a Steeped Tea, which costs $1.59 here in Calgary, Alberta. It includes GST but no PST (we’re lucky like that!).
B) Actual winning amounts are from the RUTR official rules. In cases of coffee and donut prizes, the highest quoted amount is calculated.
The odds of winning any food prize this year is 1 in 9. However, 75% of those prizes can be coffee, and 25% can be donuts/muffins – This translates to the odds of winning a coffee to 1 in 12, and the odds of winning a food prize are 1 in 36.
I am tracking my statistics on a live Google Spreadsheets document (2009, 2008 Spreadsheet). Detailed instructions for the graph and the spreadsheet itself are available on the Setup worksheet.
Summary of 2010 Prize and Stats Analysis
Best vs. worst regions to play Tim Hortons Roll Up The Rim is (approximately):
- RAV4 – British Colombia (1 in 5,758,000) vs. Prairies and northern Canada (1 in 8,216,800)
- $10,000 Cash Prize – Prairies and northern Canada (1 in 2,738,933) vs. British Colombia (1 in 2,894,000)
- Toshiba Netbook – USA (1 in 277,200) vs. British Colombia (1 in 280,065)
- $100 Tim Card – Same everywhere (1 in 11,174 vs. 1 in 11,177)
Pictures of all my 2010 RUTR cups
This page has the following sub pages.
Hey, I’ve recently went on a 0 for 23 streak – very depressing!
How is the iPhone?
Hey Dawger, you went on a little hiatus for a bit! Bitter about your losses? Hitting 23 losses is pretty bad luck though – maybe its about time you started to average out after winning so much!
Hey Jon, ya I was a little bit of a sore loser so I stopped posting for a bit. My losing streak is up to 29 in a row now! I’m even below the stated 1 in 9 odds now!
Hopefully I can finish strong.
Hi Jon,
Just to let you know, we’ve posted your story the Google Docs Blog, here: http://googledocs.blogspot.com/2008/04/coffee-and-statistics.html
Cheers,
Meredith
To bad results that occurred in the past are no guarantee for the future results!
Hey,
I just wanted to let you know that your blog is fantastic! It’s very entertaining and educational. I’m in Saskatoon and currently at 9 in 36, but most others I know are 1- 35 to 40 or so. My question is, where are all of the Tim cards? I have yet to hear of someone winning one, yet there are supposed to be 20 000 (last I checked only 4000ish had been claimed). Now, my strategy is to just keep getting coffees until the cups are gone–and if that means having to downgrade to a medium… then so be it!
Happy rolling =)
Meredith @ Google Docs – Thanks for posting my story about Google Docs! Hopefully next year we’ll get lots of RUTRers putting their stats on there to share as well!
Hi Andrea and James – Thanks for the comments. I’m personally very curious about the slow redemptions of the gift cards and GPS units – I’ve sent something to the Tim Hortons PR team, maybe they’ll provide me with an explanation. I’ll keep you posted. Happy rolling! =)
Hey do you have stats on which cups win more? Small-Xlrg???
Hi Curt, as far as I know, the Large cups typically had the best chances of winning. They removed the stats this year from the rules page, so that may have changed
[...] Roll up the Rim to Win frenzy is back (I love that Tim Horton’s commercial with the giant cup in “Canadaland”). For the fifth year running, Calgary-based Jon Lin is documenting his losses (and hopefully a few wins) on his blog. [...]
I’m 2 for 3 and it’s all been large cups!
Congrats on your first win! I found out about your site from the Globe and Mail article last year. Just wondering, on your graph, what does the top of the red line represent (I know the bottom is the probability of your winnings)?
I’ve set up my own google docs to track my statistics (and those of my friends as well) this year. I’m 2/3 so far (was away for a few days hence the small denominator).
Happy Rolling!
Hi Carol, thanks for the congrats. The red line is where I am currently on the graph, and the orange line is supposed to be where an average roll-up-the-rimmer should be. I wish I could somehow make that more obvious on the graph, but I lack creative insight to do that properly.
Its great that you are tracking for yourself and your friends. I’ve always wanted to do a central tracking thing to compare the luck between all the regions, so looking at what you have is a great start.
My daughter told me that if you take your losing cup to another coffee shop you can get a free coffee. She didn’t know which one, County Style or Coffee Time…..Is this true? If so, maybe you can get something out of all those cups!
I just found the answer to my own question….It is Country Style…until March 9th you can get a free Med. coffee with a losing tab from Tim’s